The Cody Word
  • April 23, 2008 11:56 AM EDT by Cody Willard

    Blame Ben the Pawn for Rising Rice Prices

    On Happy Hour for weeks, we've been all over the rice hoarding and food riots. News that Sam's Wholesale is limiting sales of rice is either a perfect top indicator in a mis-perceived "shortage" of food that's actually just a figment of all you momentum traders and commodity bulls (most of whom are just mindless speculators chasing the latest trend on Wall Street).

    Or this really is the start of something that we all should be VERY worried about, as hoarding of grains is about to hit the developed world for the first time in decades.

    All of this, as I wrote earlier is the fault of the government, including the Fed. I have a new theory about Ben Bernanke's Fed being so willing to screw over the savers, renters and grandmothers of the world supposedly to try to "pre-empt" any possible downturn in the economy. All this printing of billions of dollars for the richest people on the planet down on Wall Street through rate cuts, socialization of capital risk by giving banks guaranteed Treasuries in return for who-knows-how-worthless mortgages, intraday liquidity injections, and so on, by the Fed is because Ben's just a pawn.

    For all his faults, Greenspan was at least a free-thinking guy who didn't cowtow to Wall Street in the same way. Sure, Greenie fell for the Y2K scam and created all kinds of bubbles and transfered lots of wealth from savers and renters and grandmothers too...but at least it seems like he did it on his terms.
    Ben seems to simply take whatever Wall Street's consensus has convinced him MUST BE DONE TO SAVE THE ECONOMY and put the pedal to the metal in implementing it. Now think about the conflicts of interest here:

    The investment banks and Wall Street investors (the richest people in the world, actually, if you think about it how 90% of stocks are owned by 10% of the world or whatever the latest stat like that is) go to the Central Bank and explain to him that if he doesn't help them by printing all this free money and giving it directly to them that they're gonna be in big trouble. Oh, and therefore the common man is gonna be in big trouble.
    Well, as the government always does when it redistributes wealth and tinkers with natural market forces, it turns out the most obvious unintended consequence of giving free money to rich people is BIG TROUBLE FOR THE COMMON MAN. Flip It, of course. This chart of the skyrocketing price of rice ain't good for grandma or the guy struggling with two jobs to keep his kids in a running car and a heated home with food on the table:

    cody_chart_small.jpg

    Blame Ben and the two fraternity parties that you guys keep voting into power for all this food trouble.

Alex S.

Bernanke said during his Senate testimony that he is looking at the shape of commodities future curve. If you look at the the contract table for rice, you get: may 08 $24.46 jul 08 $24.820 Sep 08 $22.430 Nov 08 $22.180 jan 09 $22.380 Mar 09 $22.580 may 09 $22.78 Nov 09 $18.250 hehehe. That looks like steep deflation. So Ben will just keep cutting!?

April 24, 2008 at 12:12 am

Frank A

This November us middle class get to choose, Republicans redistributing wealth upward, or Democrates redistributing wealth downard. Great article.

April 23, 2008 at 8:53 pm

rik

Blame the Greenie's ?!! -long before we even paid for gasoline, it used to be thrown out as garbage for kerosene instead. -and even much longer that that, the steam engine (aka water engine) and the Electric vehicle were ALREADY INVENTED ! blame greenie?, It doesn't matter what GREENIE does, if the whole greenie world re-invented and mass-produced the near perfect water/electric car,...(oops, GM already did -the EV1 and then pulled it)...? then the "Governments'" would just raise the price of water, rice, corn, excrement, batteries,...taxes whatever; just to make up "their" greedy diffenece, not at all for our, or the natural worlds' benefit. -Its unbelievable how so many Americans (actually the whole world,like Lemmings over a cliff) have followed all these powerful LIARS for the last 100 years or so.

April 23, 2008 at 4:49 pm

Mark

I was wondering when fox business will come out my way. i was home for the holidays and got to see it for the first time on DTV, but out here in hawaii i only get crabby Maria Barthelomo and the rest of the duds on CNBC. One of the programs I caught was Happy Hour and i loved it but now i'm back in hawaii with nothing. Is the the same thing happening as when Foxnews first came out. i was living then in Santa Barbara and they would not carry it so i had to get DTV in order to see fox. This solution though won't work for me in Hawaii b/c we do not get all the DTV channels due to how far south we are of the satellites.

April 23, 2008 at 3:52 pm

Brett

I am amazed at the inability or unwillingness of our leaders to realize that trying to save the banks by printing more money is going to drive our economy into the ground. Ben keeps printing money, because Ben has something to lose. And besides, no one is going to hold him accountable. Our free market economy is not a free market economy anymore. The government jumps in whenever one of the little babies gets a scratch on their knee because they acted foolishly.

April 23, 2008 at 2:42 pm

about this blog

  • Cody Willard is an anchor on the FOX Business Network. Willard is also the principal of an investment management company. He was a long-time featured columnist for the Financial Times and TheStreet.com as well as a regular featured economist and stock picker on CNBC's ''Kudlow & Company."

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