The Cody Word
  • February 27, 2008 08:30 PM EST by Cody Willard

    A Trade In Which Emotions Aren’t the Enemy

    I made the joke the other day with some of my colleagues that I'd become emotionally bankrupt. I was exaggerating, but man, I'd hit an emotional low a few weeks ago. I'd also made the joke that I wished I could buy calls on my emotional state, because it was certainly at a sentimental low.

    Nothing like catching your breath again, and were I now long those options, I'd probably peel a few of them off now to catch my breath and still keep plenty of exposure to the upside. Wouldn't it be great to trade options on your own emotions? You could roll your emotional call options up when they're close to expiring but you know you've got momentum. And when things in your personal life are going awful, you could either load up on puts if you're the greedy type or at least hedge yourself for the downside.

    I'm surprised that in this Web 2.3 bubble (ooh, great new term for this phase of the net...we're not hardly past 2.0 and certainly not at 3.0, but we're moving...) that I've not seen the pitch from some PR firm for some Stanford grad's social network full of options trading, real or paper, on your own emotions yet.

    Or at least some pitch from some kid on his couch in his living room with a model and site up in beta.

    All of which begs the question if you could then be sued for insider trading, I suppose.

    And with that, I'll get my Judge Judy fix and head onto bed.

SD

One of the more interesting Web 2.0 attempts to sell stock on oneself was this failed effort last month by a minor league pitcher: "(...)Randy Newsom, a reliever last season for the Cleveland Indians’ Class A and AA affiliates, set up a Web site through which fans and other outsiders could purchase a piece of his future major league earnings. Through Thursday, Newsom had sold about 1,800 shares of himself at $20 apiece. Each share afforded the bearer .002 percent of his career pay, uniting his goals with investors who hope he makes it big(...)Offerings shopped over the Internet must be registered with the S.E.C., and Newsom’s was not. After speaking with a lawyer for M.L.B. on Thursday afternoon, Newsom decided to table his idea(...)" http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/01/sports/baseball/01minors.html

February 28, 2008 at 11:20 pm

gp237

good comeback cody, even better let the shows speak for themselves. great job guys!

February 28, 2008 at 8:38 am

Cody

Wow, The question now then, SD, is whether the market would price in that tendency to overestimate, certainly the game-ability of it would fade over time.

February 27, 2008 at 9:39 pm

about this blog

  • Cody Willard is an anchor on the FOX Business Network. Willard is also the principal of an investment management company. He was a long-time featured columnist for the Financial Times and TheStreet.com as well as a regular featured economist and stock picker on CNBC's ''Kudlow & Company."

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